THE FORECAST

The news just moved. Here’s why.

Prediction markets reprice when something real changes.
We track the biggest swings in news events in the last
24 hours and tell you what happened.

Updated every 3 hours. No noise. No commentary. Just signal.

  1. 1 7.0pp
    20%Yes

    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

    Summary generating...

    View on Polymarket →
  2. 2 +6.7pp
    79%Yes

    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

    Summary generating...

    View on Polymarket →
  3. 6 +0.7pp
    83%Yes

    Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

    Summary generating...

    View on Polymarket →
Subscribe to Nick Hartland
on Substack