THE FORECAST

The news just moved. Here’s why.

Prediction markets reprice when something real changes.
We track the biggest swings in news events in the last
24 hours and tell you what happened.

Updated every 3 hours. No noise. No commentary. Just signal.

  1. 1▼ −21.0pp
    39%Yes

    Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

    Summary generating...

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  3. 3▼ −11.9pp
    4%Yes

    Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?

    Summary generating...

    View on Polymarket →
  4. 4▼ −10.0pp
    37%Yes

    US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

    Summary generating...

    View on Polymarket →
  7. 7▼ −4.2pp
    12%Yes

    Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

    Summary generating...

    View on Polymarket →
  8. 8▲ +3.1pp
    28%Yes

    Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

    Summary generating...

    View on Polymarket →
  9. 9▼ −3.0pp
    17%Yes

    Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?

    Summary generating...

    View on Polymarket →
  10. 10▼ −3.0pp
    64%Yes

    Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

    Summary generating...

    View on Polymarket →
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